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You will need at least one more digit to count the fatalities of even an unsuccessful attempt to start a civil war.
- Jake Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
And I am quite sure that much more people died because of austerity in the 2007-2013 cycle, then in the cases above.
In the coups/revolutions there were barely no direct deaths, probably little indirect deaths. The indirect death tool of austerity is surely greater already.
Sure, not civil war above. But serious events.
The name "war" might be ugly, but at the end of day what should count is human suffering. This "peace" has had many casualties already.
What about Yugoslavia, 1991? Note, 1991. i.e. when militias are terrorizing villages, the Yugoslav army is coming apart/turning into a Serbian army, and the Croatian army hardly even exists. As I have suggested, a joint Franco-German intervention would not have been easy, and there probably would have been months of mayhem before they got things locked down, but... tens of thousands of lives saved. It doesn't solve the problems that precipitated the war, but those problems were never serious enough to justify war. Instead of a decade of wars, a decade of establishing a political process for partition of territory.
Perhaps my scenarios are not realistic, but they are a lot more objective than conjectures about future civil wars. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
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