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The so-called "carbon bubble" is the result of an over-valuation of oil, coal and gas reserves held by fossil fuel companies. According to a report published on Friday, at least two-thirds of these reserves will have to remain underground if the world is to meet existing internationally agreed targets to avoid the threshold for "dangerous" climate change. If the agreements hold, these reserves will be in effect unburnable and so worthless - leading to massive market losses. But the stock markets are betting on countries' inaction on climate change.The stark report is by Stern and the thinktank Carbon Tracker. Their warning is supported by organisations including HSBC, Citi, Standard and Poor's and the International Energy Agency. The Bank of England has also recognised that a collapse in the value of oil, gas and coal assets as nations tackle global warming is a potential systemic risk to the economy, with London being particularly at risk owing to its huge listings of coal.
The so-called "carbon bubble" is the result of an over-valuation of oil, coal and gas reserves held by fossil fuel companies. According to a report published on Friday, at least two-thirds of these reserves will have to remain underground if the world is to meet existing internationally agreed targets to avoid the threshold for "dangerous" climate change. If the agreements hold, these reserves will be in effect unburnable and so worthless - leading to massive market losses. But the stock markets are betting on countries' inaction on climate change.
The stark report is by Stern and the thinktank Carbon Tracker. Their warning is supported by organisations including HSBC, Citi, Standard and Poor's and the International Energy Agency. The Bank of England has also recognised that a collapse in the value of oil, gas and coal assets as nations tackle global warming is a potential systemic risk to the economy, with London being particularly at risk owing to its huge listings of coal.
What the report additionally says is that the difference in value, if stock markets caught up with that possibility, would be large enough to destabilize financial markets severely.
This could be seen as an argument not to do anything about fuel burning (but I don't think this is what Nicholas Stern means), or another way to underline the disproportionate influence of fossil fuel companies on our economies, and the need to cut them down (maybe the message isthat we need to do it slowly, and start now...) Wind power
See See Jeffrey Sachs Calls Out Wall Street Criminality and Pathological Greed in yesterday's naked capitalism. (He seems a somewhat different JS than the one who was so active in 'reforming' the post-Soviet states. Perhaps people can develop a moral sensibility.)
"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
Perhaps people can develop a moral sensibility.)
probably too many migraines caused by wearing lead blinkers... 'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty
For example, in the U.S., the big railroad companies do a huge business shipping coal. If we entered into a serious program to reduce coal fired generation of electricity, this business would collapse. Is it fraudulent to run a company based on the relatively short-term view of what might be a profitable shipping business?
Or, in the U.S., we have not bought into the idea of investing in passenger railroads, but continue to build conventional highways to carry an ever-increasing population of cars and trucks. Maybe that is the right thing to do, even, if you think that electric cars will become more practical and that sustainable energy supplies will provide abundant inexpensive electricity. Is it fraudulent for a state to plan its transportation system based on one particular technical approach given that another approach might or might not be better in the long run?
If we entered into a serious program to reduce coal fired generation of electricity, this business would collapse.
Coal has gone from 48% of US electricity generation to 35% in just a few years, and rail traffic has gone down accordingly. Thankfully for the rail ways, Coal's decline comes as oil booms - they are moving to ship oil by rail these days... Wind power
Rekord: Wind- und Solaranlagen produzieren mehr Strom als konventionelle KraftwerkeRecord: wind and solar generators produce more electricity than conventional power plantsMünster - Die Stromerzeugung aus erneuerbaren Energien hat heute einen neuen Spitzenwert erreicht. Wind- und Solaranlagen in Deutschland haben erstmals mit einer Leistung von rund 36.000 Megawatt (MW) Strom produziert, teilte das Internationale Wirtschaftsforum Regenerative Energien (IWR) mit. Das entspricht der Kraftwerksleistung von mehr als 30 Atomkraftwerken. Zeitweise speisten die regenerativen Anlagen mehr Strom in das bundesdeutsche Netz ein als die konventionellen Kraftwerke. "Erstmals wurde Deutschland an einem laststarken Werktag zwischenzeitlich zu mehr als 50 Prozent mit Strom aus Wind- und Solaranlagen versorgt", sagte IWR-Direktor Dr. Norbert Allnoch in Münster. Die Zahlen basieren auf den Daten der Strombörse EEX.Münster - The generation of electricity from renewable energy has now reached a new peak. Wind and solar power generators in Germany have produced electricity with a power of c. 36,000 megawatts (MW) for the first time, announced the International Economic Platform for Renewable Energies (IWR). This corresponds to the generating capacity of more than 30 nuclear power plants. At times, renewable producers fed more power into the German federal power grid than conventional power plants. "For the first time, Germany has been supplied to the tune of more than 50% with electricity from wind and solar generators," IWR director Norbert Allnoch told in Münster. The figures are based on data from the electricity exchange EEX.
Thinking about this, it looks like you're going 3 kinds of days in the market now:
German power exports more valuable than its imports Now that the switch to renewables has not produced blackouts, but record power exports, the new conventional wisdom has it that German ratepayers are subsidizing electricity sold on the cheap to neighboring countries. Why doesn't anyone just do the math? The new official figures published today by DeStatis basically confirm the preliminary statistics published by BDEW at the beginning of the year, which put Germany's net power exports at a record level - an outcome that flies in the face of concerns that the sudden nuclear phaseout of 2011 would lead to a shortfall of power generation. Now, the German press is full of reports charging that German ratepayers are having to subsidize energy that is given away practically for free to neighboring countries. RP online writes of the "paradoxical situation" in which "German power providers have to pay for the power they export just to get rid of it so it can be consumed where it is not really needed." As regular readers of Renewables International know, regular readers of Der Spiegel are particularly misinformed, so it comes as no surprise that the five visible comments under Spiegel's article largely assume that Germans are subsidizing cheap power for foreign countries. The third comment reads, "It would be interesting to know how much foreign countries pay for German power and how much Germany pays for foreign power." The stupid thing is that all of this is provided in DeStatis' press report from today, but no article I could find (RP online, Der Spiegel, Frankfurter Rundschau, etc.) bothers to do the math on the statistics published. So here it is: TWh Billion euros Price per kWh in cents German power exports 66.6 3.7 5.6 German power imports 43.8 2.3 5.25 This is not rocket science; it's basic math. On average, Germany received 5.6 cents and paid 5.25 cents per kilowatt-hour exported/imported, respectively. In other words, the value of the kilowatt-hour Germany exports is more than the value it imports - exactly the opposite of what everyone seems to expect.
Now that the switch to renewables has not produced blackouts, but record power exports, the new conventional wisdom has it that German ratepayers are subsidizing electricity sold on the cheap to neighboring countries. Why doesn't anyone just do the math?
The new official figures published today by DeStatis basically confirm the preliminary statistics published by BDEW at the beginning of the year, which put Germany's net power exports at a record level - an outcome that flies in the face of concerns that the sudden nuclear phaseout of 2011 would lead to a shortfall of power generation.
Now, the German press is full of reports charging that German ratepayers are having to subsidize energy that is given away practically for free to neighboring countries. RP online writes of the "paradoxical situation" in which "German power providers have to pay for the power they export just to get rid of it so it can be consumed where it is not really needed."
As regular readers of Renewables International know, regular readers of Der Spiegel are particularly misinformed, so it comes as no surprise that the five visible comments under Spiegel's article largely assume that Germans are subsidizing cheap power for foreign countries. The third comment reads, "It would be interesting to know how much foreign countries pay for German power and how much Germany pays for foreign power."
The stupid thing is that all of this is provided in DeStatis' press report from today, but no article I could find (RP online, Der Spiegel, Frankfurter Rundschau, etc.) bothers to do the math on the statistics published. So here it is:
TWh Billion euros Price per kWh in cents German power exports 66.6 3.7 5.6 German power imports 43.8 2.3 5.25
This is not rocket science; it's basic math. On average, Germany received 5.6 cents and paid 5.25 cents per kilowatt-hour exported/imported, respectively. In other words, the value of the kilowatt-hour Germany exports is more than the value it imports - exactly the opposite of what everyone seems to expect.
Germany: Construction of Trianel's Borkum Offshore Wind Farm Reaches Next Stage The installation work for the internal transformer platform for Trianel's Borkum wind farm was successfully completed yesterday. During a two-day mission at the construction site, 45 kilometers off the Borkum's coast, the heavy lift vessel Oleg Strashnov lifted the 2,400-ton deck onto the substructure (jacket). Then the transformer platform and jacket were welded together. "With the transformer platform, we haven't just installed the power outlet for the wind farm, but we also created the conditions for the next stage of construction," said Klaus Horstick, Managing Director of Trianel wind farm Borkum GmbH & Co. KG. "In the coming months, we will erect the wind turbines." The erection of the AREVA M5000 turbines with a capacity of 5 MW should start in May. During the installation of wind turbines, the installation vessel MPI Adventure will be used for half a year. The offshore wind farm is planned to be connected to the grid by TenneT in the 3rd quarter of 2013. Originally, the commissioning was planned for 2012/2013 year. However, a new completion date is scheduled for the 4th quarter of 2013.
The installation work for the internal transformer platform for Trianel's Borkum wind farm was successfully completed yesterday.
During a two-day mission at the construction site, 45 kilometers off the Borkum's coast, the heavy lift vessel Oleg Strashnov lifted the 2,400-ton deck onto the substructure (jacket). Then the transformer platform and jacket were welded together.
"With the transformer platform, we haven't just installed the power outlet for the wind farm, but we also created the conditions for the next stage of construction," said Klaus Horstick, Managing Director of Trianel wind farm Borkum GmbH & Co. KG. "In the coming months, we will erect the wind turbines."
The erection of the AREVA M5000 turbines with a capacity of 5 MW should start in May. During the installation of wind turbines, the installation vessel MPI Adventure will be used for half a year.
The offshore wind farm is planned to be connected to the grid by TenneT in the 3rd quarter of 2013. Originally, the commissioning was planned for 2012/2013 year. However, a new completion date is scheduled for the 4th quarter of 2013.
This is one of the several German offshore wind projects that have been bank-financed to be under construction now - in fact, this was the first one to have been financed (I worked on it when I was still in my previous job, but was not involved in the final stages of the financing in 2010). As a few other projects in Germany, it's been hit by the delays in building the grid connections but is now moving to the final construction stage. (Bank financings include contingency planning that allows project construction to survive serious delays (typically in the 6-12 months range); I can't comment on any project specifics, but the generalised delays on grid connections have meant that these projects have had less room for manoeuver than usual for other problems. The lesson banks are taking from these projects is not that you can't do project finance for offshore, but that you need to increase the contingency budget a bit more. That will have a cost but at least it not prevent financing) Wind power
On the other hand there's a learning curve. I read somewhere that the delays in building the connections were due to the market in undersea HVDC cabling being overwhelmed. Isn't that a one-off event?
This will be relaxed are more projects are built without hassle, but remember, the most recent precedents always loom larger in institutional memories (and people in project finance tend to have longer memories than in other sectors).
The good news is that the early projects were built within budget, so the very first conclusion the project finance marmet reached was "offshore wind is bankable" - and that's rather important... Wind power
Hmm, there's one prof. Murphy who could have taught them that ;-)
Last year there were calls about a threath to the bumblebees, to they seems to have survived. Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se
Not too long ago a mysterious affliction called Colony Collapse Disorder (CCD) began to wipe out honeybee hives. These bees are responsible for most commercial pollination in the U.S., and their loss provoked fears that agriculture might begin to suffer as well. In 2009 the three of us, along with colleagues at Harvard University and Northeastern University, began to seriously consider what it would take to create a robotic bee colony. We wondered if mechanical bees could replicate not just an individual's behavior but the unique behavior that emerges out of interactions among thousands of bees. We have now created the first RoboBees--flying bee-size robots--and are working on methods to make thousands of them cooperate like a real hive.
Nicotine has long been known to stimulate one type of acetylcholine receptor ...
Note: acetylcholine is the basic neurotransmitter, across all species. (That I know of)
... which is found both in the central nervous systems and at the nerve-muscle junction. Acetylcholine stimulation at other kinds of receptor is not reinforcing but nicotinic receptors are abundant on dopamine releasing neurons in the nucleus accumbens. One consequence of repeated exposure to nicotine ... is that after the end of nicotine us the nucleus accumbens cells responsible for reinforcement (dopamine cycle, etc.) become less responsible than usual. That is, many events, not just nicotine itself, become less reinforcing than they used to be.
The nucleus accumbens is popularly known as the "pleasure center" but it is also vital in reward/reinforcement leading to initiation of any activity.
It is crazy to toss neonicotinoids into the ecology without understanding the effects. She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
less responsible than usual
responsive?
It is crazy to toss neonicotinoids into the ecology without understanding the effects.
guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
Brabeck-Letmathe (credited as Peter Brabeck) appeared in the 2005 documentary We Feed The World in an interview at the end of the film. He said that the idea of water as a basic human right was "extreme" and that he believed water should have value like any foodstuff. He also affirmed that Nestlé was part of the solution to world poverty by employing so many people.
Why this question?
Second, see my comment re: neonicotinoids, above. She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
There have been a few studies. Seralini et al have been told their sample wasn't large enough, so we can't conclude eating GM maize harmed rats (over full lifetime). On the pro-GM side (oops, this is science, how can we talk about sides?), a study showed no ill effects after three years' ingestion. On pigs, who live easily to 15 years, so no measure of ill effects in later life.
Oh, it isn't just a matter of eating transgenes. It's eating the pesticides GM plants express in all parts, and the systemic pesticides they imbibe after spraying.
See: the "miracle" of DDT. (The "miracle" being we didn't destroy the global ecology.) She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
One interesting thing is that the video is pre-crisis, so this CEO's message is one of abundance "we've never had it so good, we've never had so much money, we've never been healthier, so why is everyone so gloomy?".
8 years later, his message is probably one of "we can't keep living beyond our means", as that is the conventional wisdom that the Very Serious Classes need to communicate to the plebes. guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
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