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They apparently built a complex grid and production model, but there are a lot of assumptions there and the tested scenarios are aimed at certain outcomes. I note in particular:
  • they assumed a specific constant price of CO2,
  • they treated hydro and biomass as being operated on a must-run basis,
  • they assumed additional renewable capacity will have the same geographical distribution as in 2010 [it's already significantly different today...],
  • they assumed the same hourly generation profiles in their projections of increased production as in the chosen three days from 2010 data.


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Thu Jun 13th, 2013 at 05:50:49 PM EST
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