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Excellent production data has come out of the site

According to the German Wikipedia, 267 and 268 GWh in 2011 and 2012 (against a predicted 220 GWh a year). Both of these correspond to an astronomical capacity factor of 50.8%. But we haven't seen its performance in a bad wind year yet.

And within a few months, the industry will suddenly change from being a nice idea to becoming a tangible reality, with more than 1 GW of capacity installed and a lot of people directly involved.

If I calculated right, the in-construction + in operation capacity add up to a bit over 1.75 GW. Nice. About when will all of that be on-line?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Jun 9th, 2013 at 02:44:29 PM EST
About when will all of that be on-line?

...and how much capacity is there in total on the German continental shelf, if it were all built out?

by mustakissa on Sun Jun 9th, 2013 at 03:17:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Probably even more than what is described here (in English; with slight illogical omissions in translation from the original):

  • 21.4 GW in approved farms in the North Sea
  • 2.4 GW in approved farms in the Baltic Sea
  • 28 GW in farms in the North Sea awaiting approval
  • 2.3 GW in farms in the Baltic Sea awaiting approval

The sum total is 54.1 GW.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun Jun 9th, 2013 at 05:02:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
We'll have 2 GW within a year or two, probably, yes. It depends both on the individual schedules of projects and on the schedule of completion of the corresponding grid connections.

Wind power
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Jun 9th, 2013 at 03:47:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
DoDo, from Alpha Ventus we're not looking at the difference in inter-annual variation, but performance against real wind. Alpha Ventus has great performance, better than expected. What's more important is the cost of that high performance. Alpha Ventus was built as a test field for the offshore generation of turbines, and that's its value.

The Wartungskosten (O&M costs) are indeed high to create such performance, but again, Alpha Ventus is a test field. Each manufacturer has only six turbines, so optimizing costs is not even in question. But as a test bed for high capacity commercial installations, it is a completely successful operation. Remember, this is the first of the deep water, far afield offshore projects.

As for when German first round projects will be online, the delays to date rest primarily on the shoulders of the grid operator, TenneT, and its converter station suppliers. To make lemonade out of lemons, this delay has given manufacturers and logistics suppliers (vessels) more time to optimize procedure.

The German government is actually responsible for the unlikelihood it will meet its 2020 installation target. Also remember that unlike every other EU country, Germany opted to avoid all near shore controversy, by beginning in deep water at great distance.

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Ana´s Nin

by Crazy Horse on Sun Jun 9th, 2013 at 04:49:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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