The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
So trying for a scenario that might include a Seuro.
Step 1: Syriza wins in Greece, refuses austerity, ECB refuses Greek debt as collateral crashing the Greek banks. Greece has to print to re-capitalise and either prints new dracham or prints euro and is kicked out of the third step of the EMU (common coins).
Greece stays in the EU and becomes a thorn in the side in the Council proceedings and ECB Governing Council meetings. In the Council the following areas still demand unamity according to wikipedia:
Voting in the Council of the European Union - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Certain policy fields remain subject to unanimity in whole or in part, such as: membership of the Union (opening of accession negotiations, association, serious violations of the Union's values, etc.); change the status of an overseas country or territory (OCT) to an outermost region (OMR) or vice versa.[23] taxation; the finances of the Union (own resources, the multiannual financial framework); harmonisation in the field of social security and social protection; certain provisions in the field of justice and home affairs (the European prosecutor, family law, operational police cooperation, etc.); the flexibility clause (352 TFEU) allowing the Union to act to achieve one of its objectives in the absence of a specific legal basis in the treaties; the common foreign and security policy, with the exception of certain clearly defined cases; the common security and defence policy, with the exception of the establishment of permanent structured cooperation; citizenship (the granting of new rights to European citizens, anti-discrimination measures); certain institutional issues (the electoral system and composition of the Parliament, certain appointments, the composition of the Committee of the Regions and the European Economic and Social Committee, the seats of the institutions, the language regime, the revision of the treaties, including the bridging clauses, etc.).
Certain policy fields remain subject to unanimity in whole or in part, such as:
Step 2: Spain and Italy follows the same way.
Now the rejects has 68 votes on the Council, needing just 25 more to stop any proposal. And given that expansion of the EU was sometimes hold up because some countries wanted to revisit fishing quotas discussions, using a blocking minority in one area to get leverage on another is established pracise.
Given this I wonder what ability the remaining EMU members has to punish the rejected ones? And also if the EU would still have enough policy cohesion to keep implementing austerity in new account deficit countries. Or really any ideas of how these dominos would fall once the first country leaves/is thrown out. Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 2 6 comments
by Oui - Feb 4 4 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jan 26 3 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jan 31 3 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jan 22 3 comments
by Cat - Jan 25 61 comments
by Oui - Jan 9 21 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jan 13 28 comments
by Oui - Feb 44 comments
by Oui - Feb 311 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 26 comments
by Oui - Feb 261 comments
by Oui - Feb 16 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jan 313 comments
by gmoke - Jan 29
by Oui - Jan 2732 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jan 263 comments
by Cat - Jan 2561 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jan 223 comments
by Oui - Jan 2110 comments
by Oui - Jan 21
by Oui - Jan 20
by gmoke - Jan 20
by Oui - Jan 1841 comments
by Oui - Jan 1591 comments
by Oui - Jan 145 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jan 1328 comments
by Oui - Jan 1221 comments