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the French and German governments have ended their shadow-boxing over European budget "rules,"
and the Germans have won, and the Eurozoner is not part of Kaletsky's new "consensus" on fiscal policy.

Willem Buiter: Four rescue measures for stagnant eurozone (FT.com)

... The first is a proper AQR and stress test followed by a speedy recapitalisation of the capital-deficient banks and a wave of consolidation in the eurozone banking sector to bring higher profitability, and efficiency, to a banking sector with too many undersized banks. ...

The second measure is a temporary fiscal stimulus (say 1 per cent of eurozone GDP per year for two years, concentrated in the countries with the largest output gaps, that is, in the periphery), which is permanently funded and monetised by the ECB. To make the mechanics of this helicopter money drop more transparent, the ECB could cancel the sovereign debt it purchases. This third measure would be economically equivalent to buying and holding the debt forever (rolling it over as it matures), but rather more dramatic. ...

Finally, to achieve debt sustainability for the eurozone sovereigns, radical supply side reforms are required that boost the growth rate of potential output to at least 1.5 per cent in Italy, Portugal and other sclerotic countries.

To continue to be rightly depressed:
The eurozone's `no monetary financing of sovereigns' fetish hamstrings the ECB. The instinctive anti-Keynesianism of the Teutonic fringe emasculates countercyclical fiscal policy. Domestic political paralysis inhibits structural reform. The AQR stress test was a fudge. Good luck, eurozone.


A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Oct 31st, 2014 at 10:42:52 AM EST

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