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Wikileaks via CableGate

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/07/2016
TAGS: PGOV [Internal Governmental Affairs], PHUM [Human Rights], PREL [External Political Relations], RU [Russia; Wrangel Islands], UP [Ukraine]
SUBJECT: UKRAINE: THE RUSSIA FACTOR IN CRIMEA - UKRAINE'S
"SOFT UNDERBELLY"?

REF: A. KIEV 387
     B. KYIV 4301
     C. KYIV 4021
     D. KYIV 4425

Classified By: Charge a.i. Sheila Gwaltney, reason 1.4 (b,d)

Discussions with a wide range of contacts in Crimea November 20-22 and officials in Kyiv discounted recent speculation that a return of pro-Russian separatism in Crimea, which posed a real threat to Ukrainian territorial integrity in 1994-95, could be in the cards.  However, nearly all contended that pro-Russian forces in Crimea, acting with funding and direction from Moscow, have systematically attempted to increase communal tensions in Crimea in the two years since the Orange Revolution.  They have done so by cynically fanning ethnic Russian chauvinism towards Crimean Tatars and ethnic Ukrainians, through manipulation of issues like the status of the Russian language, NATO, and an alleged Tatar threat to "Slavs," in a deliberate effort to destabilize Crimea, weaken Ukraine, and prevent Ukraine's movement west into institutions like NATO and the EU. ...

Sections in rest of cable:

  • What's Going On in Crimea?
  • Crimea: built-in fertile grounds for volatility
  • The Black Sea Fleet: intel and press
  • "Cossacks," Russian Community of Crimea, Russian Bloc
  • Zatulin - chief political meddler
  • The PR projects: Modest Kolerov, Proryv, EYU
  • Moscow and Mayor Luzhkov - buying influence/real estate
  • Miscellaneous pro-Russian actors
  • What is to be done?


Point n'est besoin d'espérer pour entreprendre, ni de réussir pour persévérer. - Charles le Téméraire
by marco on Sat Mar 1st, 2014 at 10:36:19 PM EST
Cable from US Embassy, Kiev, December 2006.

It's an interesting long take on Crimean history, though obviously subject to caution given its origin.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sun Mar 2nd, 2014 at 04:14:10 AM EST
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