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Russia and Ukraine, often lapse into competition driven by security fears. Russia and Ukraine might overcome this dynamic and learn to live together in harmony, but it would be unusual if they do."
 

Of course they can coexist but his assumptions are wrong in a way that security fears do not come from Ukraine to Russia but obviously from USA and Nato to Russia. As for Ukraine it's not a real rival to Russia at all. As we see Russia rightly felt threatened that west (USA) would try to take over Ukraine and threaten and circle Russia with it's military force.It does not have anything to do with religion (religion is just USED as a good pretext to move masses in to the conflict).It's about money!
As for Yugoslavia that "border" between Croatia and Serbia is everything ( including religious border between catholic and orthodox Christians) but not cultural border.It's a same mentality, and no matter how Croatian like to deny it , it's a same culture.Again what ever differences are there they are exploited by west to push us to war strictly for the money (resources, cheap labor, market etc)!    

Of course they can coexist but his assumptions are wrong in a way that security fears do not come from Ukraine to Russia but obviously from USA and Nato to Russia. As for Ukraine it's not a real rival to Russia at all. As we see Russia rightly felt threatened that west (USA) would try to take over Ukraine and threaten and circle Russia with it's military force.It does not have anything to do with religion (religion is just USED as a good pretext to move masses in to the conflict).It's about money!
As for Yugoslavia that "border" between Croatia and Serbia is everything ( including religious border between catholic and orthodox Christians) but not cultural border.It's a same mentality, and no matter how Croatian like to deny it , it's a same culture.Again what ever differences are there they are exploited by west to push us to war strictly for the money!  

It may very well be less bloody then Yugoslavia for simple reason that Bosnia was too complicated with ethnic communities mixed in small enclaves (like a leopard's skin) and first of all because Yugoslavia was a conflict of west with poor little not abiding Serbia (Russians decided that their interest is too small  and also that at the time they didn't have extra money to spend and didn't want to get involved). This situation in Ukraine is totally different. Two big powers against each other but poor Ukrainians may actually get lucky if only they do not decide to kill each other just for fun ( and pride as we stupid Slavs occasionally do).
Mearsheimer's statist prediction of possible war and Russian conquest of Ukraine leads him to support Ukraine's having nuclear weapons.  

Yeah right.That would be just great and "real solution". Ukraine was nuclear simply because it was part of USSR...
and sponsor contingency planning for the possible breakup of Ukraine.

It is unclear who was actually planing for the break up of Ukraine and who is probably just following the plan in case of the break up that now looks inevitable.EU was very rigid (and they admit it was a mistake) in their conditions toward Ukraine with a policy "you are either with us or against us".But that may very well be a part of the plan.I suppose we may never know.
world driven more and more by "civilizational" forces rather than national or ideological forces.

Sorry but I do not get what exactly do you mean by "civilizational" ?Please explain...
Reality may be much messier than the simple alternatives Huntington laid out.  What if Ukraine both splits up and gets into a war with Russia?  What if Ukraine splits up and the Pravyi Sektor takes control west Ukraine: fascism is the offspring of Western civilization, would Huntington count such a development as evidence for his theory?  And if Russia does get involved militarily, will it be primarily to protect ethnic Russian populations and social cohesion both in the Ukraine as well as Russia itself from the undermining influence of and aggression by the West?  Or simply to protect its own national security by strengthening its power against a new Ukrainian state that it cannot control per the "statist" paradigm?  Not sure whether the two explanations can be disentangled.

It's hard to know...I assume we should wait and see...and prepare ourselves for absolutely everything...This situation may escalate. I still hope that because practically there are just two players in this game (Russia and USA) after all the bluffing they may decide to sit down and settle things up. Let's hope so.  

Science without religion is lame, religion without science is blind...Albert Einstein
by vbo on Sat Mar 1st, 2014 at 05:35:36 AM EST

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