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It may of course be a matter of fact that high civil servants make this same assumption, but I don't understand why you would lend any credence to the claim on that basis. After all, they have been wrong about most everything lately. Why would they be right on this score? The Hun is always either at your throat or at your feet. Winston Churchill
As to how justified that fear may be, you seem to agree there would be a rise, but it would not last long. You may be right. It doesn't change my political comment.
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