This subthread began with my suggestion that fear of a jump in interest rates (aka punishment by teh markets, whether personified by "bond vigilantes" or metaphorically represented by the "invisible hand") was a factor in Holland/the government's pusillanimous stance. That's a political comment that doesn't call for an economic model.

As to how justified that fear may be, you seem to agree there would be a rise, but it would not last long. You may be right. It doesn't change my political comment.