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If that was Reinfeldt's plan then it has backfired enormously for two reasons, evident beforehand.

  1. According to the best surveys(SOM questionnaire) SD was the most trusted party in immigration issues, and their stance of lessened immigration had much more support than the alliance+green immigration policy. If you make that the biggest issue of the election then SD will gain.

  2. By not agreeing to be a support party SD became the only opposition party. in a situation where the new government implements the unpopular and struggling immigration policy of the Reinfeldt years. This led many old Moderate voters to SD, as well as a large part of the working class and they are now polling 25-30%.

Reinfeldt has been instrumental for the rise of SD and will have to take much of the blame for the current and future state of Swedish politics.
by chumchu on Tue Oct 13th, 2015 at 06:55:29 AM EST
chumchu:
According to the best surveys(SOM questionnaire) SD was the most trusted party in immigration issues, and their stance of lessened immigration had much more support than the alliance+green immigration policy. If you make that the biggest issue of the election then SD will gain.

That was the plan. Benefit SD on the cost of the left wing to prevent the left wing majority that the polls were showing. Worked too.

Also positioning yourself as the anti-SD is a vote-gainer as the Feminist Initiative showed in 2014s EU election. SD is the most disliked party by a large margin.

And the current liberal migration policy also sizeable support, though in proportion to parliament votes SD has most to gain from an election centering on immigration.

chumchu:

By not agreeing to be a support party SD became the only opposition party

I don't think to much should be read into that. They have claimed to be one party against the rest for years, so while the DÖ played into their rethoric I think the effect was limited.

chumchu:

they are now polling 25-30%.

Not quite.

Poll of polls from Svensk Opinion:

Bad enough as it is.

by fjallstrom on Tue Oct 13th, 2015 at 06:06:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It depends on what survey you look at. In the surveys where the SD polls the worst, they are at 15%. In the best ones they poll at 27%.

Do a poll-of-polls and they end up at 21%. Their true current position is probably a bit higher than that, but probably less than 25%.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Sat Oct 24th, 2015 at 10:24:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
No one has done more for SD poll numbers than Mr. Reinfeldt.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid on Sat Oct 24th, 2015 at 10:22:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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