Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
I concur with others on the timeline.  I think you'd need to push it out at least five years.  

The idea of Germany attacking France also seems highly unlikely, simply because Germany surely knows it'd get steamrolled.

What I don't get -- and this goes beyond the discussion here -- is the assumption that dropping the euro leads to dropping EU membership.  I don't see how the latter follows the former.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Wed Feb 11th, 2015 at 10:15:56 AM EST
Not surprising, as the euro is what has clawed to the centre of what the EU has become.
The social ideal? Come come, everyone knows that was the honey to get everyone to fall into the troika deathtrap repaying debts run up by idiot politicians like 'bridge to nowhere' Berlusconi.
Didn't anyone see what would happen if you create a currency ahead of fiscal union? How the poorer countries would be encouraged into profligacy by lower borrowing costs?
So obvious in retrospect. All those actors being so rational and all...

'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Feb 11th, 2015 at 01:10:59 PM EST
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