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Yes, there is an "anybody but the established parties" feeling widespread, but it is unclear how these independents could contribute to the formation of a majority government. My guess is that we will have a Fine Gael led minority government after the next election which will have to go to the electorate again within a couple of years in the hope of securing a majority. The other possibility is that the independent vote will drift back to Fine Gael and the major parties once an election is called, because general elections are about forming a government, not the local issues on which most independents thrive. My other sense is that the 70-80% who have paid or intend to pay the new water charges will take a dim view of those who haven't (and the politicians who support non-payment) and form the basis of a new governing coalition.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Sep 29th, 2015 at 10:11:43 AM EST
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