Portugal Parliamentary Elections 2015 | 28 comments (28 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: A shift to the left (none / 1)

Results via Wikipedia (without the four seats for voters abroad, and some corrections due to separated lists in some regions):

Party/group	Vote share	Change	Seats	Change
Total/turnout	56.9%	-1.1	226	-4
PSD+CDS-PP	36.8%	-11.9	104	-28
PS	32.4%	+4.4	85	11
BE	10.2%	+5.0	19	+11
PCP+PEV	8.3%	+0.4	17	+1
PAN	1.4%	+0.4	1	+1
PDR	1.1%	+1.1	0	0
PCTP/MRPP	1.1%	-0.1	0	0
LIVRE/TDA	0.7%	+0.7	0	0
PNR	0.5%	+0.2	0	0

So only one new party entered parliament, after all, and BE was much more successful and the Communists less than Luís expected.

As for forming a government, neither PS+BE nor PS+CDS (if I calculate with 20% of the coalition seats) has majority. Portugal has experience with minority governments; is toleration by the Communists a possibility?

_{*Lunatic*, n.

One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

by DoDo on Mon Oct 5th, 2015 at 05:15:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A shift to the left (none / 1)

Apparently the Communists will sit this out. The question is whether the PS+BE can beat the right-wing coalition (with the exterior seats, or with the animal rights party) and whether the PS will want to form a government with the BE. They disagree on austerity and on the Euro.

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Oct 5th, 2015 at 06:21:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Correction (none / 0)

With the sum of the separate lists added up in the PSD+CDS-PP voting shares, too...

Party/group	Vote share	Change	Seats	Change
Total/turnout	56.9%	-1.1	226	-4
PSD+CDS-PP	38.5%	-11.9	104	-28
PS	32.4%	+4.4	85	11
BE	10.2%	+5.0	19	+11
PCP+PEV	8.3%	+0.4	17	+1
PAN	1.4%	+0.4	1	+1
PDR	1.1%	+1.1	0	0
PCTP/MRPP	1.1%	-0.1	0	0
LIVRE/TDA	0.7%	+0.7	0	0
PNR	0.5%	+0.2	0	0

_{*Lunatic*, n.

One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

by DoDo on Mon Oct 5th, 2015 at 01:20:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Portugal Parliamentary Elections 2015 | 28 comments (28 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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