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As can be seen from the comments above, results were somewhat different from what I expected, especially in what concerns the smaller parties. However, the main expectation are all there: (i) a larger number of parties in Parliament; (ii) increased voting on new parties; and (iii) no obvious government supporting coalition.

I have started writing a follow up to this article various times, but the situation remains very dynamic. The right would like to form a minority government with PS approving the budget for one or two years, while it digests internally this disappointing result. Pressed by various PS factions, António Costa decided to meet all the other parties. On Wednesday the bombshell exploded in his hands - the communists are willing to do whatever is necessary to keep the right away from government; this includes approving PS-led budgets and even taking part in government. This changes everything, PS can no longer blame the communists and their inflexibility for supporting the right.

The press now percolates a major division within PS: half the party wishes to form a left leaning government with BE and PCP, while the other half prefers to support a right-led government. There is no way to tell how this will end. And it seems PS itself as at stake.

You might find me At The Edge Of Time.

by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]a[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]gmail[dot]com) on Fri Oct 9th, 2015 at 11:01:41 AM EST

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