Of Polls and Polsters | 71 comments (71 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: Of Polls and Polsters (4.00 / 2)

Sanders crushes Clinton in Alaska and Washington Democratic caucuses | US news | The Guardian

Bernie Sanders won overwhelming victories in Washington state and Alaska on Saturday, narrowing Hillary Clinton's still significant lead in the race for delegates to win the Democratic nomination for president.
Sanders defeated Clinton in Washington's caucuses 75% to 25% and 79% to 21% in Alaska's, with about 38% and 72% of the states' precincts reporting.
"We knew from day one we were going to have a hard time politically in the deep south - that is a conservative part of the country," Sanders told supporters in Madison, Wisconsin. "But we knew things were going to improve as we head west.
"We are making significant inroads in Secretary Clinton's lead," he said. "We have a path toward victory."

Clinton won Arizona 57% to Sanders' 41%.
Oregon primaries are May 17.
California and New Mexico June 7.

by Bernard on Sun Mar 27th, 2016 at 07:14:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Of Polls and Polsters (none / 0)

Those margins will get it done if he can keep winning to a similar extent.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sun Mar 27th, 2016 at 10:32:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Of Polls and Polsters (none / 1)

Washington was a genuinely impressive win for Bernie, but he's running out of real estate. I suspect he'll nab similar wins in Oregon, Montana, the Dakotas, and whatever else is left in the Plains and Mountain West.

He'll probably take Wisconsin as well.

I suspect Hillzilla will get fairly big wins in New York, Jersey and whatever's left of the Northeast.

California should be fairly close. I'd guess slight edge to Clinton. And I suspect she wins New Mexico.

At that point, I think we're done. She'll win by a few hundred delegates.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Sun Mar 27th, 2016 at 10:33:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Of Polls and Polsters (none / 0)

Depends on the amount of Disney shit.

by generic on Wed Mar 30th, 2016 at 10:47:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Of Polls and Polsters (none / 0)

The animal omens favor Sanders. But he needs at least a tie in New York and New Jersey, a win plus some in California and big wins in most other states to even tie her in pledged delegates. Not impossible, but Clinton has better odds.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Wed Mar 30th, 2016 at 02:06:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Of Polls and Polsters (none / 1)

This is the only upside to these interminable marketing races, that the extra time can give more chances for something disruptive to emerge and mature.

For a black swan to turn white.

'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu Mar 31st, 2016 at 08:11:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Of Polls and Polsters | 71 comments (71 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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