Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
I think Trump really can win.

Yes, Hillary comfortably leads in opinion polls and has lower disapproval ratings. But that's now. And what matters is swing states. And what IMHO matters a lot (also in some swing states) is that Trump beats Hillary (unlike Sanders) among lower-income and less educated voters. This is a segment of the population won by previous Democrat Presidential candidates, and a path of expanding the traditional Republican base for Trump, especially given that Hillary is unlikely to go full Sanders on the economy. I can even imagine that she (or her strategists) will prefer to play the anyone-but-Trump card to keep policy options in office open.

I still think Hillary is more likely to win, but not by a large margin. Now, what would a Trump victory mean for the USA and the world? IMHO an accelerated and messy end to the American Empire. From his business record I see him as a classic con-man, but for the job of the American overlord he is even more incompetent than Dubya was.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed May 11th, 2016 at 11:50:15 AM EST

Others have rated this comment as follows:


Occasional Series