The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
While Sinn Fein will campaign strongly for the United Ireland option, many more hard headed southerners and northerners will dismiss that as romanticism in the face of the the 11 Billion annual subvention the North gets from Westminster. So long as that remains on the table, I can see no change in attitudes in the North.
However if the North were to lose both that subvention and EU subsidies, I could see attitudes there changing very quickly. It is in the south were a pronounced reluctance to take on that liability will kick in. Unless the EU were to provide some kind of transition financing, it would simply not be economically feasible. There would also have to be transitional political mechanisms - e.g. the N. I. Assembly remaining in place and handling local matters for at least a 10 year period.
However in the longer term, there is no reason why Ireland, north and south, could not replicate the relative economic success of the south. There might even be some added synergies from having a larger local market, increased mobility, reduced duplication of administrative overheads etc.
However all of this is predicated on the transition being essentially peaceful, and that is a very big ask indeed. Social change happens very slowly and can take several generations. Unless some way can be found to overcome fears of cultural domination and address local deprivation it could be very messy indeed. No one will want to touch it with a bargepole, and yet, were England to withdraw the subvention, people would have very little option. We live in interesting times...
Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 19 18 comments
by Bernard - Jul 16 35 comments
by Oui - Jul 14 3 comments
by Oui - Jul 19 26 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 14 15 comments
by ARGeezer - Jul 10 19 comments
by eurogreen - Jul 8 8 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 10 27 comments
by Oui - Jul 212 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 1918 comments
by Oui - Jul 1926 comments
by Oui - Jul 181 comment
by Bernard - Jul 1635 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 1415 comments
by Oui - Jul 143 comments
by ARGeezer - Jul 1019 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 1027 comments
by Oui - Jul 98 comments
by eurogreen - Jul 88 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 532 comments
by gmoke - Jul 439 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 252 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 26106 comments
by Oui - Jun 219 comments