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"Trump is actually underperforming both Romney and McCain in those areas as well as the South while overperforming the two in the Southwest and Northeast"

Let us assume this trend is persistent at least until the November.  What are the implications for the electoral college and for Senate and congressional races?

At a first glance it seems as if Trump is doing slightly better in areas where he is not going to win anyway, and worse in states he absolutely has to win to be competitive.

"Trump voters are quite well to do"

To what extent is this simply a function of the bulk of the Republic base rowing in behind him?  Was his voter base also primarily well to do in the early weeks of his insurgency?

Finally, how does this all map onto competitive Senate and Congressional races?

(If you feel a diary coming on to answer those questions, Drew, don't hold back... I'm holding the front page for you!)

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Jul 12th, 2016 at 01:02:02 PM EST
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National election polls are a mess right now and won't improve until mid-August after both conventions and the immediate affects of the conventions.

As of today (July 12) it looks like the Senate will flip back to Democratic Party control.  We're 118 days out so it is possible this could change.  I note that scum-sucker, conservative Dem, Evan Bayh has decided to jump into the Indiana senate race indicating the Smart Money© is on a Dem take-over.

House?  Who knows and no way of telling today.  Utterly depends on the Dem candidate for the position.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Tue Jul 12th, 2016 at 03:12:10 PM EST
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