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Looking at the polls on Wikipedia:

Notice how CDU and AfD looks like communicating vessels?

It looks unlikely that any two-party coalition will reach 50% except for CDU-SPD. CDU-AfD has a chance if FDP misses 5% again and CDU-Greens if Greens does a good election.

I am going to guess that SPD still prefers being minor coalition partner to CDU before trying to lead a red-red-green government, even if they get the seats for it.

So Merkel rules on.

by fjallstrom on Thu Jan 19th, 2017 at 01:24:48 PM EST
Definitely. Recently there is a red red green coalition in Berlin. And Berlin seems definitely to be the place where political hope goes to die. The Left gave Andrej Holm, a noted activist for renter rights a State Secretariate. (Is that what it's called? Staatssekretär?) He also was in the Stasi academy when he was 18. So the usual happens, the national office that manages the Stasi files releases his because they are relevant for lower level functionaries if leftwing as opposed to for example CDU chancellors. We then have the usual song and dance until the SPD mayor decides to fire him. Useless as ever.
by generic on Thu Jan 19th, 2017 at 02:10:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Humboldt university has fired him as well. Everybody knew he was a Stasi trainee, even a full time employee for a short time before the wall came down. So why have him employed in the first place? Secondly, why nominate him for a deputy minister post?

From a professional pov he had a lot of informative things to say about gentrification. But it was foreseeable that his nomination wouldn't fly politically. Which leads me to believe that "R2G" (current parlance for Red-Red-Green) is dead on arrival in the general election because they're amateurs.

Schengen is toast!

by epochepoque on Thu Jan 19th, 2017 at 11:35:50 PM EST
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As far as I can see the allegations are a nothing burger. The SPD folding here means they aren't ready to face a stiff breeze. You can look at Sanders and Corbyn if you have any doubt about what you'd have to face if you get close to succeeding with a left wing program.
by generic on Fri Jan 20th, 2017 at 02:06:29 AM EST
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Suceeding? Nobdoy has gotten that far yet. Corbyn and Sanders show what happens if you even dare articulate a left-wing program in public.
by Zwackus on Fri Jan 20th, 2017 at 02:51:25 AM EST
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That's a long-term disaster. AfD biggest opposition party? Something needs to give.

Schengen is toast!
by epochepoque on Thu Jan 19th, 2017 at 07:54:49 PM EST
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