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Looking at the polls on Wikipedia:

Notice how CDU and AfD looks like communicating vessels?

It looks unlikely that any two-party coalition will reach 50% except for CDU-SPD. CDU-AfD has a chance if FDP misses 5% again and CDU-Greens if Greens does a good election.

I am going to guess that SPD still prefers being minor coalition partner to CDU before trying to lead a red-red-green government, even if they get the seats for it.

So Merkel rules on.

by fjallstrom on Thu Jan 19th, 2017 at 01:24:48 PM EST

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