Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
There's a rational and an irrational level to politics, and the irrational level works on "This is good" vs "This is bad".

Before the referendum, the irrational level was sold to our less intelligent voters with the lie that everything that was bad was the fault of the EU.

Now that we're in the middle of the process, it's becoming obvious to softer leavers that the Tories are incompetent idiots.

The Tories have done an astonishingly good job of dramatising that incompetence. And as anyone who has read Bernays will tell you, dramatising a point makes it stick far more persuasively than rational argument.

So the softer leavers are drifting towards blaming the Tories for everything that's bad at the moment - including rising prices, the gig economy, debt, low pay, NHS provision, immigration, and so on.

The vote was supposed to fix all of this and it has - against all expectations - made it worse.

How could this happen? It's a mystery to many. But it's obvious someone is responsible, and it's not the Labour Party, "remoaners", or even the EU.

Other softer leavers are beginning to understand they were lied to. "It wasn't supposed to be like this", they sob.

So in addition to all of May's other problems, she's now having to deal with a slow but increasing wave of public rage which is gradually drifting away from blaming immigrants and towards blaming her and her party.

There's a hard core of thick racist nutcases in the UK who will never change their minds about the EU. But they're a minority. The majority is now swinging away from support for Brexit, and the further it swings, the less of a mandate May has, the harder she'll find it to hold the competing factions in her party together, and the more likely it is that a single weak challenge from an unexpected source will set the whole house of cardboard on fire and bring it crashing down.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Fri Oct 20th, 2017 at 03:50:00 PM EST
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