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Considering how Hamons fall and Melenchons rise seems to mirror each other (not perfectly, though), I think part of it is the voters who could go for either are shifting to Melenchon and will probably continue to do so if he looks like the more probable left candidate to get to the second round. So at this rate, it may not matter if Hamon drops out, the voters who could vote for a commie does so either way.

Right now, Melenchon and Fillon are at 18-19 percent and LePen and Macron at 23-24 percent. Not an unbridgeable gap with two weeks left.

What will happen to the PS is an interesting question. Who will be the party leader for PS in the legislative elections if Hamon does this poorly?

by fjallstrom on Mon Apr 10th, 2017 at 02:14:17 PM EST
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