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Two more thoughts :
  • Fillon is profoundly unfashionable, in an impressive number of different ways, and will probably do considerably better than his polling on election day. Anecdotal evidence from right-wing voters suggest that they will hold their noses and vote for him for want of a viable alternative. Dupont-Aignan, the pseudo-neo-gaullist, will get close to zero votes, and a lot will come home from Macron.
  • This might lead to my preferred second-round scenario : Fillon vs Mélenchon. A shoo-in, and a victory for the Losers against the Winners, sociologically speaking.


It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Mon Apr 10th, 2017 at 05:06:54 PM EST
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This might lead to my preferred second-round scenario : Fillon vs Mélenchon.
That would assume quite a number of voters dropping Le Pen in favor of either Fillon or Mélenchon, to push her back to third place; difficult to believe at this point.
by Bernard on Mon Apr 10th, 2017 at 06:12:10 PM EST
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