Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
The outcome is not getting any clearer.
The polls give Le Pen and Macron around 22-23, and Mélenchon and Fillon around 19-20. All within the margin of error, and of course people lie to pollsters, and more than anything, the number of undecided voters and of intending abstainers are at record highs.

So they are testing all six possible second round matches, and this is what you get :

One way of looking at it is that we've got a 50% chance of Macron, 33% chance of Mélenchon, and 17% chance of Fillon.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Sun Apr 16th, 2017 at 03:51:34 PM EST
With one week to go before the first round, the French media is now all in "nail biter, horse race mode": Mélenchon catching up to Fillon! Macron overtaking Le Pen! In the home stretch, any one of the four may qualify the the second round! It's a cliffhanger! Stay tuned to our TV channel (after these messages)!

This is of course very good for TV audiences and for the infotainment business bottom line (just like 2016 was a great year for NBC, CBS and the likes...)

Macron and Le Pen are still polling at least two percentage points ahead of Mélenchon and Fillon. Since this election is so unlike any previous elections of the past 20 years, the race is still quite unpredictable and things could still change in the next couple of days.

For those who can read French, this article asking for the voters' second choice if they couldn't vote for their favorite candidate.

by Bernard on Sun Apr 16th, 2017 at 04:17:21 PM EST
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