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Voici les premières tendances du second tour que « Le Soir » a pu se procurer à bonnes sources, sur base de sondages « jour du vote » : selon quatre instituts différents, Emmanuel Macron arriverait largement en tête de l'élection présidentielle, avec un score supérieur à 60%. Le nombre de votes blancs et nuls serait important. Précision : il s'agit de sondages réalisés ce dimanche. Les estimations sur base des premiers dépouillements ne seront pas disponibles avant 19h, heure de fermeture des premiers bureaux.
Précision : il s'agit de sondages réalisés ce dimanche. Les estimations sur base des premiers dépouillements ne seront pas disponibles avant 19h, heure de fermeture des premiers bureaux.
I'm picking about 10% "blancs" this time, which will be historic. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
I haven't seen the final numbers -- for some reason, they take hours to consolidate and publish the count we finished three hours ago -- But from the counting sheets I saw, she got less than that : about 13%. Macron about 81, and 6% "blancs".
The lesson I take from this, is that in an area where Le Pen has a low first-round score, her attractivity is lower than it is elsewhere (for example, a lower percentage of LR voters voted for her in my district than nationally)
All reinforces the fact that the FN vote is strongly socio-economic and territorial, and Macron, who certainly understands this, will need to do the opposite of his professed economic policies in order to turn it around.
How first-round votes migrated in the second round (Ipsos poll) It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
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