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David Davis has warned that the clock is ticking on Brexit - Professor Patrick Minford from Economists for Free Trade tells Channel 4 News that leaving the EU without a trade deal would bring a 135-billion-pound boost to the economy.
Devaluation also effectively imposes an import duty on imports by adding 18% to their price in Sterling terms. So far the response of CPI to this has been muted - barely rising to 2.6% but presumably this will increase further as the rising cost of imported goods feeds through the supply chain.
Historically most economists regard devaluation as a useful short-term safety valve to reduce the impact of an economic crisis and to facilitate faster recovery. However longer term its benefits erode as increased import costs feed into inflation and output prices.
What is perhaps more remarkable is the degree to which the UK economy has failed to respond to the stimulating effects of such a large devaluation which indicates their are structural problems in the UK economy which devaluation is only masking for the time being.
The other surprising thing is that foreign investors and creditors aren't pulling their assets out of Sterling more rapidly in response to such a massive loss of value. I would expect a massive Sterling crisis when they start to do so to a much larger extent.
A breakdown in Brexit negotiations could be the trigger for such an event posing even greater difficulties for EU exporters to the UK.
Increasingly the end of the A50 period can't come quickly enough for EU industries if it means they will become less exposed to low cost UK competition enabled by Sterling devaluation.
Index of Frank's Diaries
The problem here is the widening of the trade deficit at the same time. This means Sterling is not venting all the pressure building in the system.
You might find me At The Edge Of Time.
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