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So the choice will come down to May's deal or no deal. The plan seems to be to delay agreement until Mid-November and force a vote just prior to the Xmas recess. There will then be no time to call a mid-winter general election or referendum.
My best guess is still that May will lose that vote through a combination of DUP and hard Brexiteer opposition. Corbyn will insist on a general election - even though mid-winter elections are against all tradition in the UK. Hard Brexiteers will mount a leadership challenge.
May might even try to come back to the EU Council looking for a better deal. I doubt she will receive a sympathetic response. She has already reneged on the December "Backstop" deal and there is no guarantee that she can get any deal through parliament.
Logically she should resign and make way for someone like BoJo who will enthusiastically embrace the no-deal scenario, all the time upbraiding the EU for their failure to be "flexible" and agree a deal. He would get an even less sympathetic reception on the EU Council.
In contrast to the UK, the EU will have been making serious preparations of a no deal Brexit. Mini-deals to enable food and medicines to be imported/exported and continued landing rights for UK aircraft may be agreed, but only if the 40 Billion exit payment has been paid, or some sort of "administrative" charges are imposed.
Why should the UK continue to enjoy the benefits of EU membership when it is no longer a member and has welshed on its commitments? It could get really nasty...
Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 19 12 comments
by Bernard - Jul 16 35 comments
by Oui - Jul 14 3 comments
by Oui - Jul 19 17 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 14 15 comments
by ARGeezer - Jul 10 18 comments
by eurogreen - Jul 8 8 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 10 27 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 1912 comments
by Oui - Jul 1917 comments
by Oui - Jul 181 comment
by Bernard - Jul 1635 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 1415 comments
by Oui - Jul 143 comments
by ARGeezer - Jul 1018 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 1027 comments
by Oui - Jul 98 comments
by eurogreen - Jul 88 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 532 comments
by gmoke - Jul 439 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jul 252 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 26106 comments
by Oui - Jun 219 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 2032 comments
by IdiotSavant - Jun 2013 comments