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So the choice will come down to May's deal or no deal. The plan seems to be to delay agreement until Mid-November and force a vote just prior to the Xmas recess. There will then be no time to call a mid-winter general election or referendum.
My best guess is still that May will lose that vote through a combination of DUP and hard Brexiteer opposition. Corbyn will insist on a general election - even though mid-winter elections are against all tradition in the UK. Hard Brexiteers will mount a leadership challenge.
May might even try to come back to the EU Council looking for a better deal. I doubt she will receive a sympathetic response. She has already reneged on the December "Backstop" deal and there is no guarantee that she can get any deal through parliament.
Logically she should resign and make way for someone like BoJo who will enthusiastically embrace the no-deal scenario, all the time upbraiding the EU for their failure to be "flexible" and agree a deal. He would get an even less sympathetic reception on the EU Council.
In contrast to the UK, the EU will have been making serious preparations of a no deal Brexit. Mini-deals to enable food and medicines to be imported/exported and continued landing rights for UK aircraft may be agreed, but only if the 40 Billion exit payment has been paid, or some sort of "administrative" charges are imposed.
Why should the UK continue to enjoy the benefits of EU membership when it is no longer a member and has welshed on its commitments? It could get really nasty...
Index of Frank's Diaries
by ARGeezer - Oct 24 17 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 23 57 comments
by ARGeezer - Oct 22 5 comments
by ATinNM - Oct 19 51 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 19 117 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 11 38 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 8 126 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 6 167 comments
by ARGeezer - Oct 2417 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 2357 comments
by ARGeezer - Oct 225 comments
by ATinNM - Oct 1951 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 19117 comments
by gmoke - Oct 15
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 1138 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 8126 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 6167 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 135 comments
by IdiotSavant - Sep 286 comments
by IdiotSavant - Sep 2810 comments