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The dispute was useful, from an EU perspective, in demonstrating that it is not just the UK that is unhappy with aspects of the Brexit deal. There has been an attitude in the UK that the EU will cave if the UK shouts loud enough, and demands certain changes.

Not only is this unlikely, from an EU perspective, because it is by no means certain that there are any changes, acceptable to the EU, which would bring a majority in the House of Commons on board, but re-opening the negotiations could open a Pandora's Box of demands from other members among the EU27.

Sánchez could get his hour in the sun (or rather his people got to pull an all-nighter) and was made look strong in relation to Gibraltar ahead of the Andalusian elections. Merkel could perform her favourite adult in the room routine, and the UK is reminded that any renegotiation, even if agreed, would not be a one way street.

Mind you, if Gibraltar can be treated differently, why not N. Ireland? Anyway, the EU Council can go ahead and have their big meeting later today. Tusk can do his Presidential thing and act nice to Theresa, and Barnier and Juncker can be thanked for their hard work and told to look forward to their retirement.

Until the House of Commons rejects the deal, that is. Someone is going to have to work over Xmas...

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sat Nov 24th, 2018 at 11:08:29 PM EST
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