Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

Meanwhile the ERG are calling for a vote of no-confidence in May. Interestingly this suggests that in spite of the chaos, they don't already have the numbers they need.

So the vile Mogg has just tried to sell a change of leadership. Unfortunately for him, a leadership win would change exactly nothing. At least one minister is saying that if the Ultras try to swing it, they will campaign for a People's Vote and an end to Brexit. And some remainers would resign the whip, which would guarantee a no-confidence vote.

It's a stalemate, with a theoretical advantage to Remainers. The Ultras will try it on, but unless they can persuade the army to stage a full-blown military coup, their odds of success are debatable - not zero, but less than 50:50.

Being delusional, the Ultras may not have realised this yet. They're selling the usual stock rhetoric they've been using since before the referendum.

It has its admirers, but a lot of people are finding it very tedious now.

Also, this: Leave Voter Cries and Apologises

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2018 at 03:12:33 PM EST
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