The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
While many businesses may be in despair about the lack of certainty, the rest of the population will continue to dismiss those 80 No-Deal articles as Project Fear 2.0. Not until there is grid-lock at Dover, a lorry park on the M26, Cumbrian and Welsh hill farmers unable to export lamb, and a major car manufacturer announcing the closure of their production plant (as predicted by Patrick Minford) is there a chance of enough people believing that 'they got the vote wrong'.
As the clock ticks, time is becoming of the essence. The Guardian recently pointed to a lengthy article by Lexington Communications which works out the timeline for UK Parliament to get the necessary legislation in place, and taking the 41 days of Mastrich Treaty parliamentary discussions as a template.
Approving a government motion on the Withdrawal Agreement is just one of two steps needed for the UK to ratify the deal. The second is the passage of primary legislation to implement the Withdrawal Agreement, which must receive Royal Assent before the Brexit deadline of 29 March 2019.
If things start to go wrong during parliamentary scrutiny of the bill the government runs the risk of missing the deadline for ratifying the Withdrawal Agreement. In such circumstances it may become necessary to appeal for an extension of the Article 50 process - particularly given the knock-on effects that problems in UK ratification could have for the process in the European Parliament. Even if the EU 27 agreed to an extension, unanimously (as is required under Article 50), the practical limit is another six weeks. After that, the UK would need to field candidates for the European Parliament elections. All this underlines the enduring truth that the Brexit process will remain beset by uncertainty and risk until the very end - whenever that is.
I am not qualified to analyse that paper, but at best it semms the UK may need goodwill from the Commission and EU parliament, goodwill which certain Englishmen have done their utmost to destroy.
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 15 48 comments
by Oui - Mar 15 19 comments
by gmoke - Mar 19
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 13 8 comments
by IdiotSavant - Mar 14 2 comments
by Oui - Mar 11 38 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 8 41 comments
by IdiotSavant - Mar 12 11 comments
by gmoke - Mar 19
by Oui - Mar 181 comment
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 1548 comments
by Oui - Mar 1519 comments
by IdiotSavant - Mar 142 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 138 comments
by IdiotSavant - Mar 1211 comments
by Oui - Mar 1138 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 841 comments
by Oui - Mar 830 comments
by Oui - Mar 312 comments
by Oui - Mar 22 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 27131 comments
by Oui - Feb 242 comments
by Oui - Feb 2413 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 2153 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 1856 comments
by Oui - Feb 1832 comments
by Oui - Feb 179 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 1445 comments