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An article 50 extension is not likely to exceed 6 weeks in order not to bump into the European elections. Nobody wants the UK to take part in those.

So I still don't believe your scenario fits in the time available.

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 6th, 2018 at 10:30:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]
" Nobody wants the UK to take part in those."

Who, and why?

It would be a delicious irony for the UK to have to take part in a democratic exercise in what they claim is a profoundly undemocratic institution.

Frankly, from an EU27 point of view it matters not a damn whether EU Parliamentary elections take place in te UK or not. It could even provide a useful platform for Remainers to keep their campaign on the road in the absence of their preferred second referendum.

The big hole in my scenario is that it requires unanimity to agree an extension, and any country for any reason could block it.  But other than that, other than for reasons of sheer boredom and a wish to move on, there is no constitutional or legal impediment to several extensions, and every reason to agree to them if they increase the prospect of a more favourable outcome from an EU27 point of view.

In the scenario above such an extension would reduce the risk of a no deal Brexit, and even improve the probability of Brexit being reversed.

Most of the deadlines associated with the process are moveable, if people want them to be.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Nov 6th, 2018 at 03:42:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
" Nobody wants the UK to take part in those."

At least not UKIP chief Gerard Batten:

UKIP chief calls colleagues `snivelling quislings'

Fourteen MEPs from across the political spectrum wrote: "Despite our political differences, as U.K. MEPs we are united around one fact: if you wish to allow the U.K. to remain within our EU family, then all ways to do so will necessitate an extension of the Article 50 timetable. Whilst we acknowledge that many details of the next few months remain unclear, it is in a spirit of friendship, solidarity and respect that we ask you, our European friends, to start thinking about this possibility and be ready for this eventuality."

Batten wasn't impressed.

He wrote in response that the Brits who signed the letter "have revealed themselves for what they are. They are a bunch of snivelling quislings who are desperate to keep their seats on the EU Parliamentary gravy train."

by Bernard on Thu Nov 8th, 2018 at 12:21:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well if UKIP can't work up any enthusiasm to stand for the elections, should they happen, even on a Sinn Fein style abstentionist platform, then all the better for everyone else. I could see Remainers dominating the results and greatly increasing the pressure for a second referendum.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Nov 8th, 2018 at 01:27:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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