The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
So on March 30th I expect the good people of the United Kingdom to wake up in the morning and start to realize just how totally screwed they are.
She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
It become tricky if May refuses to agree to a second referendum and instead plays for time to hold a second vote on her deal in March. At that point Tory Remainers either have to vote no confidence in order to force a second referendum/General election or accept that the most likely outcome is no deal. Corbyn isn't going to bail them out.
Index of Frank's Diaries
All the House of Commons has to do is pass legislation for a second referendum before the end of March and the EU will agree an A.50 extension to actually hold it.
You make it sound so simple.
Having observed the behaviour of the MPs to some extent over the past months - though not as exhaustively as you probably have - I fail to have confidence at this juncture that the House could realise a majority even for that.
Plus, Blair just spoke in favour of holding a second referendum, to much ire of May - but I'm hardly sure whether his support for the referendum would make it any more attractive for the Tories to support.
If, when the dust settles, there is no Brexit after all, then any money spent now on setting up for an exit will have been wasted. The way for a commercial outfit to minimize their cost and risk is to implement their exit strategy now, and if it turns out that there is an implementation period, that will be good news.
And if there is no Brexit after all, then the cheapest thing to do will be to retain whatever arrangements were made in preparation for Brexit, which means that no-Brexit is not the same as "going back to how things were before this all started," it is more like "you wanted us out of here, so we are out."
A bank that has just moved thousands of workers and IT systems to Frankfurt is not going to be in a rush to move them back to London next April.
This is where self-referential meets deranged. Very similar to Trump, as you say in your first comment.
Strong dose of Dunning-Krüger (advanced nouslessness) Syndrome too.
'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 20 27 comments
by Oui - Jun 21 4 comments
by IdiotSavant - Jun 20 2 comments
by gmoke - Jun 18 7 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 13 59 comments
by Oui - Jun 16 17 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 10 29 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 7 28 comments
by Oui - Jun 214 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 2027 comments
by IdiotSavant - Jun 202 comments
by gmoke - Jun 187 comments
by Oui - Jun 1617 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 1359 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 1029 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 728 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 524 comments
by Oui - Jun 313 comments
by gmoke - Jun 32 comments
by Frank Schnittger - May 295 comments
by IdiotSavant - May 29
by Frank Schnittger - May 2724 comments
by Oui - May 271 comment