Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
Another factor is the timeline and cost required for government and business to get things set up for whatever exit or non-exit arrangement is finally agreed.

If, when the dust settles, there is no Brexit after all, then any money spent now on setting up for an exit will have been wasted. The way for a commercial outfit to minimize their cost and risk is to implement their exit strategy now, and if it turns out that there is an implementation period, that will be good news.

And if there is no Brexit after all, then the cheapest thing to do will be to retain whatever arrangements were made in preparation for Brexit, which means that no-Brexit is not the same as "going back to how things were before this all started," it is more like "you wanted us out of here, so we are out."

A bank that has just moved thousands of workers and IT systems to Frankfurt is not going to be in a rush to move them back to London next April.

by asdf on Mon Dec 17th, 2018 at 03:41:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's worse than that: a certain amount of businesses that would never have contemplated moving have now got costed plans (at least) to do so. Some percentage of those will go because it makes business sense anyway, now that they look at it.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Mon Dec 17th, 2018 at 05:17:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Top Diaries

Après May

by Frank Schnittger - Mar 22
44 comments

The gloves are off

by Frank Schnittger - Mar 20
32 comments

Brexit Fun: The John Bercow Show

by Oui - Mar 18
19 comments

Healing Earth (Through the Waters)

by gmoke - Mar 19
2 comments

No justice for Bloody Sunday

by IdiotSavant - Mar 14
2 comments

People playing games

by Frank Schnittger - Mar 15
50 comments

Occasional Series