Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
I expect May to resign after losing the vote on Tuesday, no matter for what margin. Afterwards there is no way forwards for her and her government, whatever political initiative is left, it will be all with Parliament.

Long term no idea how this will end. I would only note that any scenario other than no-deal requires the timely agreement of both the House of Commons and the EU institutions. Beyond me how is that going to happen.

You might find me At The Edge Of Time.

by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]a[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]gmail[dot]com) on Fri Dec 7th, 2018 at 12:31:48 PM EST
In any ordinary circumstance most Prime Ministers would have resigned by now, having lost so many vital votes and having been found in contempt of Parliament. But evidently no one else wants the job right now as the realisation dawns that there is no good Brexit deal possible, and that there will be hell to pay when the electorate finds out.

So May may be allowed to "soldier on" "riding into the valley of death" where no one wants to lead and few enough follow. The DUP are keeping the conservatives on life support by not voting "no confidence" in the government although they are opposing much else. However they have said they will vote no confidence if May's deal is passed by the House of Commons.

The position if there is a Tory Party leadership challenge is even more fraught as the process of challenging, voting no confidence in, and replacing a leader is supposed to take 12 weeks. I doubt the EU Council would extend A.50 just to let a new Brexiteer Prime Misnister be elected...

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Dec 7th, 2018 at 07:14:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
May's primary distinguishing characteristic is her stupidity.  Anyone with the brains of a gnat would have refused to lead their country off a cliff and never sent the damn stupid Article 50 letter.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Fri Dec 7th, 2018 at 09:50:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
no, tbh that is not just unfair, it mistakes where her problem lie.

It is not that she is stupid bu she but she has an extrordinary lack of emotional intelligence.

She is also prone to fixation on one approach, she is famous for her inability to be flexible in negotiations. Her tendency is that it must be her way or no way. Which is all very well when she is working from a standpoint of strength but, in the current circumstances, she will always deliver far less than was possible because she does not recognise opportunities to trade one postion for an alternative.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Sun Dec 9th, 2018 at 04:46:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That last fairly well describes "stupidity" to me.  I concede YMMV

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Sun Dec 9th, 2018 at 07:43:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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