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I would not look for the US to make any particular special arrangements with the UK. From the trade perspective, the US will continue to be interested in the big EU market, not the (hopelessly bad) post-Brexit UK market.

Furthermore, President T. may think he can negotiate with individual European countries, but his trade envoys will not hold that opinion. The internal workings of the EU are of only peripheral interest to the US.

I would suggest that a likely scenario is that the EU-Russia relationship gradually softens, and the three 21st Century powers are EU+Russia, China+Southeast Asia, and USA+Canada+Mexico.

by asdf on Sun Dec 9th, 2018 at 06:04:13 PM EST
Russia and UK are of roughly similar economic size, so if the EU want to fill the economic hole left by the UK, Russia would be an obvious choice for closer economic links. The politics could be tricky though!

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Dec 9th, 2018 at 07:10:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Just look at Ukraine.

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Dec 9th, 2018 at 07:35:00 PM EST
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A trade pact, or even a customs union between the EU and the Eurasian Economic Union could create a larger entity within which Russian/Ukrainian/European tensions could be contained... in theory!  Would really piss off US/UK bloc though...

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Dec 9th, 2018 at 08:01:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And Poland and Ukraine and the Baltics

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Dec 9th, 2018 at 08:04:50 PM EST
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never forget Poland

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Sun Dec 9th, 2018 at 08:58:21 PM EST
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"the US/UK bloc"

Ha.

by asdf on Mon Dec 10th, 2018 at 03:36:57 AM EST
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I just noticed you forgot to mention the UK, the self styled sixth largest economic power in the world! How would the USA/Canada/Mexico bloc manage without them?

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Dec 10th, 2018 at 04:49:30 PM EST
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Well, I didn't mention India, either. Whose economy has at least a chance of improving, unlike the UK's.
by asdf on Mon Dec 10th, 2018 at 09:13:01 PM EST
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Would really piss off US/UK bloc though...

Many would consider that a feature, not a bug.

by rifek on Tue Dec 11th, 2018 at 02:31:30 AM EST
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