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After David Davies [no leeway in negotiations] and Dominic Raab [shaking hands with Barnier and quick exit] it's Theresa May, led by her personal assistant Ollie Robbbins as I have written above. More steps taken by PM May these past days corroborated my analysis May would go on a full attack against the EU. In full control [of her armada] May will no take no prisoners in the coming weeks. She will attempt to split a few countries away from Brussels in a divisive attempt to put blame across the Channel for the disaster about to happen.    

    "Robespierre was elected to the Estates General convened in 1789 by
    King Louis XVI to deal with the Royal Court's ongoing financial crisis."

May's inner circle of trustworthy persons is getting quite small as pressure mounts.

Global Warming - distance between America and Europe is steadily increasing.

by Oui on Wed Jul 25th, 2018 at 08:47:30 PM EST
I don't think May will get very far going into attack mode. She could negotiate a bare bones deal by October though, and then present it as a fait accomplit to the Commons (and DUP). I doubt it will deal with the Irish border or market access issues. There is no solution to that that will get a majority in the c Commons.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Jul 25th, 2018 at 09:13:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's a nice story, Frank, but technically, if the UK doesn't have a full exit agreement before leaving the EU in March, then there is no more road to kick the can down. End of the runway. Crash out.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Thu Jul 26th, 2018 at 08:04:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Jul 26th, 2018 at 08:29:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That's complete bollocks. There are no (0) countries who can be split from the EU27. May's huffing and puffing, and Raab's threat to renege on the exit bill, are strictly for local consumption. They provoke nothing but grins on the continent.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Thu Jul 26th, 2018 at 08:02:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"EU reform" is David Cameron talk: You will recall. And it has no place here after issue of the A50 notice by Tory gov and receipt by the Clowncil, accepted by Mr Tusk in fact.

Mr Tusk has said many things on behalf of the council, both conciliatory and trenchant, ignored here.

The A50 article of the Lisbon Treaty is remarkably brief and establishes one "right" for member states. That is to secede from the EU polity. It establishes a schedule by which the parties are to complete the withdrawal action. And it precludes the seceding petitioner's participation in EU polity determination of "Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union."

So, yes. Having issued intent to withdraw, Tory gov is not able to "reform" EU political business.

The A50 does not further stipulate procedures for completing a member's withdrawal. Lisbon's signatories obviously did not intend to bind future EU legislators to such. This statutory omission instead compels future EU legislators to evaluate terms and conditions of withdrawal in each and every case.

The UK, being the first member to exercise its right, has created the first opportunity for the Clowncil and its agents to establish procedures for withdrawal. The effects of the procedures created by Tory gov's act will be referred to by future EU and member legislators as precedent.

Initially, there was some agreement among commentators here that the EU Clowncil had no incentive to mitigate terms and conditions of a member's withdrawal for fear of dissembling the union. I guess, you've change your minds now that you're (pl.) contemplating "sweetners" for Tory gov and speculating about EU-27 concerted affirmation of some right of a member to "revoke," or reverse, an A50 action, whether concluded or in progress.

That right does not exist in A50 or A49. A50 acknowledges an available prerogative to "rejoin" the EU. That statement articulates, commission of an A50 notice immediately conveys third-country status to the petitioner.

For A49 does not stipulate any unique procedure for application or "conditions of admission" for former EU members or politically amenable heads of state. As a practical matter, each and every application is negotiable But any future UK gov must conform and affirm establisment treaties of the EU as is (cf. Reconstruction of the Confederate States to the US Constitution) or negotiate a cherry-picking trade "deal" with EU gov.

Which is still, obviously, very much motivated to prevent dissembling of the union. No one will put the cart before that horse.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Thu Jul 26th, 2018 at 05:04:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Jul 26th, 2018 at 08:28:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I read it before I commented.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Sat Jul 28th, 2018 at 01:04:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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