Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
I wouldn't trust a simple 52/39 split in an opinion poll to deliver a majority in an actual referendum once the sectarian fears are whipped up, but a 56/40 split in the event of a hard border is pretty decisive. And that is before the economic effects of a hard Brexit kick in. I don't think Unionists (and the DUP in particular), had any idea how much a game changer Brexit would be. See Newton Emerson on this...

Don't forget many Unionist farmers also have a lot to lose from Brexit, and any soft unionists with socially liberal attitudes - yes, there are a few...

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Sep 3rd, 2018 at 11:09:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Others have rated this comment as follows:

Display:

Top Diaries

Winning Diplomacy

by Frank Schnittger - Jul 10
18 comments

Epilogue Chris Steele

by Oui - Jul 12
2 comments

Brexiteers and Buccaneers

by Oui - Jul 7
18 comments

Municipal elections in France

by eurogreen - Jun 28
24 comments

Occasional Series