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Sometimes if you over-play your hand in a negotiation the situation deteriorates to the point where solutions which might have been available a short time ago are no longer on offer. The EU's collective patience with and tolerance of May has effectively run out to the point where they don't care anymore whether she survives or not.

Paradoxically this may play well at the Conservative conference where at least some Tories may rally around their disrespected leader. Being insulted by the rotten boche can be a badge of honour.

But certain battle lines have been drawn. May is on her last chance. If the October summit is a wash, there may not be a November one.  At the very least May has to come up with a credible solution to the Irish border issue.

There have been suggestions that the Tories will look for a mandate from the N. Ireland people for a solution different from the mainland. This could be done by re-running assembly elections or having a referendum.

The DUP will probably go mad, but they can hardly object to new assembly elections given the current one is defunct. If nothing else it would buy the Tories some time.

From a N. Ireland perspective it would be refreshing to have a vote on something other than a pure sectarian tribal headcount. My only concern is that the vote should be on a very clearly worded "solution". Otherwise it will all just become a sectarian vote over sovereignty again, something which shouldn't be at issue.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Sep 21st, 2018 at 08:59:45 PM EST
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