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It's either no deal, or...
  1. Next Monday May proposes to the Commons to vote on requesting a long Brexit delay (until the end of 2020) from the EU Council
  2. No customs union but the common transit convention which...
    ...is used for the movement of goods between the 28 EU Member States, the EFTA countries (Iceland, Norway, Liechtenstein and Switzerland), Turkey (since 1 December 2012), the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (since 1 July 2015) and Serbia (since 1 February 2016).  The procedure is based on the Convention of 20 May 1987 on a common transit procedure. The rules are effectively identical to those of the Union transit.
    This takes care of the Irish border issue and may even preserve Just-in-Time supply chains.
  3. No free movement of people, so no single market membership but some sort of free trade agreement. Free travel area in the British Isles continues.
Let's call this not Norway-plus but Switzerland-minus.

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jan 17th, 2019 at 09:15:16 AM EST

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