The Tories and Labour are neck and neck in the polls. The only secular trend in UK politics right now is for both the Tories and Labour to lose support.

Support for a second referendum and for Remaining in the EU fluctuates wildly depending on timing, context, and the precise question asked, but averages about 10% majority in favour in both cases.

However there is no way for this changed political reality to articulate its way into the Westminster bubble and the media narrative remains that a second referendum would be extremely divisive, of uncertain outcome, and could well spark civil unrest.

Of course when extreme Brexiteers spark civil unrest that's not perceived as a problem, more an excuse to let them have their way.

Index of Frank's Diaries