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Irish political parties will be nominating their candidates shortly, and there are often rows about how many candidates they should nominate as nominating too many can result in you loosing a seat you might otherwise have won - because intra-party vote transfers are often only 60% efficient. So, for example, Dublin having 3 or four seats could change a party's candidate nomination strategy.

The Ireland South Constituency is also being increased from 4 to 5, but Laois and Offaly are being added to it to compensate for the lack of increase in the number of seats in the midlands-north-west constituency. So what constituencies are used if the UK is still officially a member, and how do you decide who else would have been elected if the number of seats had been increased?

In practice, two bye elections in Dublin and the South would be required to elect two additional MEPs if the UK leaves. But the dynamics of a single seat bye election are very different from a four/five seat general. Also would the bye-election include Laois Offaly in the South when they would already have voted for candidates in the midlands-north-west constituency?

A mess.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Jan 7th, 2019 at 06:43:53 PM EST
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