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"Does this mean that the candidate who comes 4th. in the Dublin constituency doesn't win a seat while the UK s still a member but can take a seat automatically the moment the UK leaves? "

Yes, I suspect so. That was exactly how the "shadow MEPs" of 2009 were elected. Until the ratification process for the Lisbon treaty was done, they stayed in limbo, elected but not seated.

by fjallstrom on Mon Jan 7th, 2019 at 10:50:12 PM EST
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That works if the constituencies are the the same under both seat counts. But the Ireland south constituency was changed to include counties Laois and Offaly to accommodate an extra seat. If you run the election with the current boundaries and seat counts you can't then arbitrarily add another seat as there has to be a minimum proportionality between electorate numbers and seats.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Jan 7th, 2019 at 11:03:21 PM EST
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Checking more into 2009, I find that apparently France failed in electing their shadow MEPs, which contributed to the seating of all shadow MEPs being delayed. I don't find any specifics on why they failed or how it was solved (appointment or by-election, most likely).

Though I would suspect that while France's problems are EU's problems, there is a distinct risk that Ireland's problems are Ireland's.

by fjallstrom on Tue Jan 8th, 2019 at 01:10:22 PM EST
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