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I wouldn't even try to predict. A slightly different hung parliament feels most likely, but the situation is chaotic - we're watching the transition from one configuration of parties to another during a major constitutional upheaval driven in part by massive changes to the communications and media infrastructure. I'm not convinced old models or previous results are terribly useful.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Wed Oct 30th, 2019 at 03:50:17 PM EST
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