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55-45 has been my best guess for a while as well, and is supported by recent opinion polling - which begs the question as to why the Lib Dems weren't pushing for a second referendum rather than a general election. It's much easier for Boris to get the 35%+ he needs to win a general election, than the 50%+ he needs to win a referendum.

But even now, it begs the question as to why Remain voters can't get their act together and vote for Remain candidates and some are even voting for Boris if the party polling figures are to be believed.

I'm still not convinced this is in the bag for Boris...

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sat Nov 23rd, 2019 at 09:32:04 PM EST
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