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Ultimately the EU is better off without the UK.  

I don't know the economic price that will be paid.  That will depend on changes - or not - to the EU politico-economic policies.  

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Tue Feb 19th, 2019 at 03:14:41 AM EST
Ultimately the EU will be better off with Scotland, Wales, and England as members with rights and privileges appropriate to their position within Europe. The question is when will they re-apply?

  • Scotland, probably 2019.
  • Wales, probably 2020.
  • England, probably 2025.

^^^ guesses without any basis in analysis
by asdf on Wed Feb 20th, 2019 at 12:57:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
England will not be re-admitted, under any circumstances, and neither will it apply. In an ideal world it will become the new Switzerland or Canada. Less ideal would be a reverse colonization by India, Pakistan and China. Either way, it will barely be part of Europe.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Feb 20th, 2019 at 01:47:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What about Wales?  Is it really capable of charting an independent course?
by rifek on Thu Mar 7th, 2019 at 04:49:52 PM EST
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Doubtful. Wales is really only a string of cities/towns along the M4 on the south coast separated and disconnected from a sparsely populated hinterland by a range of mountains. Its land border with England would become just as problematic as N. Ireland's border with the Republic if it became the external EU Customs frontier. It's proximity to England means it is the natural hinterland for England's city dwellers and holiday makers with many making it their second home. It is difficult to develop a distinct national identity if you are so integrated, economically and socially, with your bigger neighbour.

Still, a really bad Brexit could change a lot of things, and often not for the better...

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Mar 7th, 2019 at 08:51:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That's what I thought.  Wales just doesn't have the horses, short of the satire I saw a few years ago where they discovered gold in all the old coal mines the day after England sawed Wales off and shoved it out into the middle of the Irish Sea.  Even the governing body for solicitors is jointly English and Welsh.
by rifek on Sat Mar 9th, 2019 at 02:57:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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