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In the short term the sub text of ruling out no deal is simply delay in the hope of something better turning up later. In the longer term that has to include a deal with Corbyn unless the Independent group grow so large and coherent that they can provide a majority for May's deal that excludes ERG hard core and DUP support - a very unlikely prospect, I would have thought.

The only other option is for the Independent group to precipitate a general election which might well produce a not v. different outcome - unless Corbyn embraces a second referendum as part of his election manifesto.  Given that the Independent group is as anti-Corbyn as anyone they will find it very difficult to support him even in that circumstance.

Given the unlikelihood of almost ANY independents being re-elected in a very polarized FPTP election, they will probably avoid the election option like the plague. The bottom line is that procrastination is their only option and Corbyn holds the key to any resolution.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Feb 22nd, 2019 at 11:34:03 AM EST
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The only other option is for the Independent group to precipitate a general election ......

I would have thought a GE is the last thing many of the defectors would want. Some (many?) are likely to lose their seats; in the two party, FPTP system, the electorate vote for parties, not individuals, however effective they have been in the past as MPs, and however eloquent and principaled their stance.

The party leaders have already challenged the defectors to put their decision to "a people's vote" by resigning their seat and forcing a by-election. Noone has accepted this.

BBC Vox-Pop interviews in Conservative constituencies and press comment, even in more left-wing press, suggest that Allen, Soubry and Wollaston are not being lauded for their decision to challenge the ERG from outside the party.

Unless the Tory party does split completely under the default "no-deal", the "three amigas" stance may be irrelevant within two weeks.

by oldremainmer48 on Fri Feb 22nd, 2019 at 12:22:07 PM EST
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