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You don't need a Conspiracy theory to explain her behaviour. She probably believes that her Brexit deal is the best Brexit deal negotiable, and she is probably right about that. She is also right that it is preferable to no deal. Her problem is getting the hard core Brexiteers on board - many of whom would probably prefer no deal and may only be persuaded to vote for her deal if No Brexit becomes a likely alternative outcome.

So a lot of them will probably vote for her deal on March 12th., because otherwise the delay motion might pass, and that opens up the possibility of a second referendum or an election. If she can't get her deal passed she will have to decide between No deal and No Brexit - or maybe the HOC will take that decision away from her. But she needs to be seen to be delivering on her Brexit mandate and if she fails she has no honourable course but to resign. Not that that means she will.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sat Mar 2nd, 2019 at 10:06:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
She probably believes that her Brexit deal is the best Brexit deal negotiable, and she is probably right about that
given her own red lines of no free movement and no customs union.

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Mar 3rd, 2019 at 12:07:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, it is the best deal she can get given her xenophobia. She could easily get a much better deal.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Sun Mar 3rd, 2019 at 12:54:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"May's deal" is/es the Withdrawal Agreement (WA) with the EU in final, legal form as negotiated between the two parties, UK and EU governments, and dated 17 Nov 2018.

WA appendices, eg. the Protocols and the "Political Declaration ..." a negotiable trade agenda agreed to by the two parties are contingent to ratification of the WA.

EU Council has announced WA negotiation is concluded; the document cannot and will not be altered. This position has not change despite claims to the contrary by T. May, proffered to UK parliament and press.

What "deal" are you (pl.) people discussing now?
Please define your terms to those of us who are not privy to the private joke.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Sun Mar 3rd, 2019 at 09:25:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That sounds like a reasonable assumption.

So, assuming her target is to get her deal through, I would guess that she will try to keep it alive, and put it against Remain when talking to Brexiteers, and put it against No deal Brexit when talking to Remainers.

So if she calls a referendum, she would want to put it against the less popular of these two (more popular) options. Which right now is No deal. It can be motivated by the question of Brexit already being settled, now is just time to decide how, etc etc.

And then people get angry, Remainers stays home, and quite possibly No deal wins. Brexit referendum all over again.

by fjallstrom on Sun Mar 3rd, 2019 at 01:03:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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