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Eurointelligence today:

there will be a third meaningful vote on Tuesday, but with the added twist that Theresa May is explicitly using the European elections as a weapon - possibly her most potent one yet. A long delay including European elections would be a nightmare for the Tory eurosceptics, and a boon to the new Brexit party. It is also a nightmare for the EU. It falls into the "be careful what you wish for" category.

(...)

Donald Tusk (...) dangled a long extension with the ease of a man who will not have to clean up the mess. We suspect the members of the European Council will be a little less gung-ho about this when they consider the consequences of the UK participating in the elections. No matter what the election outcome will be, the UK will not dispatch MEPs who will support Manfred Weber for the Commission presidency. And do the other leaders really want Brexit to dominate their own election campaign? It would be a gift to all populist parties on the continent. And it will give us another five years of Nigel Farage in Brussels.

(...)

The threat of holding European elections is probably May's most important weapon in the days ahead.

The EU insists on EP elections as a condition for an extension; May tells the ultra-Brexiters it's my deal or EP elections; the ERGers finally come to heel on meaningless vote N° 4, or thereabouts. Meanwhile the DUP has been bought with lashings of lolly. May's deal scrapes through the all-sovereign parliament.

May's plan A, or B, or X. It might work.

I used to be afew. I'm still not many.

by john_evans (john(dot)evans(dot)et(at)gmail(dot)com) on Fri Mar 15th, 2019 at 09:36:02 PM EST
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