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If Remain and second referendum supporting parties can rack up in excess of the 17.4 Million who voted Leave

There was a 72.2% turnout in the referendum. If the best to be hoped for in these elections is 47%, there won't be any 17.4 million...

I used to be afew. I'm still not many.

by john_evans (john(dot)evans(dot)et(at)gmail(dot)com) on Fri Apr 12th, 2019 at 05:12:50 PM EST
Yes, it's most unlikely. The most Remainers can hope for is a much higher turnout than 2014 (38%) and a decisive margin. Still if all 16 million who voted remain turn out, they won't be far away

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Apr 12th, 2019 at 06:01:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think participation rate similar to 2014 is likely if a lot of Tory voters stay home, and Remain/second referendum voters. Then Remain claims victory, but Brexit proponents claims it just shows that the voters are ignoring the pointless election and many more voted in the referendum.

With the loss, the Tory MP's gets even more scared of a general election which keeps May in place. And then suddenly it's October and time for a new prolongation...

by fjallstrom on Fri Apr 12th, 2019 at 08:09:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think the turnout rate will be critical if the elections are to be deemed to be a valid expression of a change of mind among the people as a whole. Even a 2:1 victory wouldn't be accepted as a valid refutation of the referendum if only 10 Million voted for Remain/second referendum supporting parties versus 5 million for Leave supporting parties. It may be enough force the House of Commons to agree to a second referendum, however.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Apr 12th, 2019 at 09:20:45 PM EST
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